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Discussion Topic: B1G Tourney Thoughts
Jason L. Jackson added to this discussion on February 28, 2020
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This list is taken from the projected starters and their rankings on Wrestlestat. The order is not a prediction, just a list from their site. Based on who they list as starters, these are my thoughts on the chances of each wrestler to qualify for NCAAs or to get a wildcard if they don’t get and AQ spot.
125 – 8 bids
Spencer Lee
Devin Schroeder
Jack Medley
Michael DeAugustino
Liam Cronin
Patrick McKee
Nic Aguilar
Justin Cardani
Eric Barnett
Alex Thomsen
Malik Heinselman
Brandon Meredith
Logan Griffin
Brandon Cray
Malik has a win this year over Medley and last year over Cronin and McKee. He wrestled Cardani to OT and barely lost to Barnett and Thomsen. If he wrestles well, which may include less shot volume to put himself in bad positions, he can steal a spot.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot –
Odds of a wildcard -
133 – 7 bids
Seth Gross
Sebastian Rivera
Austin DeSanto
RBY
Travis Piotrowski
Sammy Alvarez
Ridge Lovett
Jordan Decatur
Garrett Pepple
King Sandoval
Austin Assad/Joey Sliva
Cayden Rooks
Boo Dryden
Travis Ford-Melton
They were talking on FRL about the fact that Decatur does not have a win over a wrestler in the field. His loss to Sandoval is a really bad one, and could push him to a double digit seed. If that’s the case, he’s going to have to beat a top 6 seed to qualify automatically. He was close with Alvarez and Lovett, but with only 7 bids, it’s and uphill battle.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 33%
Odds of a wildcard – 50%
141 – 8 bids
Nick Lee
Luke Pletcher
Chad Red
Max Murin
Mitch McKee
Tristan Moran
Dylan Duncan
Parker Filius
Cole Mattin
Alec McKenna
JoJo Aragona
Matt Santos
Eddie Bolivar
Hunter Baxter
Anything other than Pletcher-Lee II will be a massive disappointment.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 99.9%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
149 – 10 bids
Pat Lugo
Sammy Sasso
Brayton Lee
Kanen Storr
Jared Verkleeren
Cole Martin
Collin Purinton
Yaha Thomas
Graham Rooks
Griffin Parriott
Gerard Angelo
Alex Hrisopoulos
Mousa Jodeh
Ryan Garlitz
Sasso is undefeated in B1G duals, but did lost to Lee at CKLV. He has close wins over Lugo, Lee and Verk. He teched Storr earlier in the year and Thomas skipped the dual. I think Sammy should be in the semis, but he’ll have to battle the whole weekend.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 99.8%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
157 – 6 bids
Ryan Deakin
Kaleb Young
Will Lewan
Kendall Coleman
Peyton Robb
Jacob Tucker
Elijah Cleary
Ryan Thomas
Eric Barone
Jahi Jones
Luke Gardner/Bo Pipher
Mike VanBrill
Drew Scharenbrock
Cleary needs to open up his offense with only 6 qualifying spots. He was close with Thomas, beat Barone and Kinner lost to Robb on a 6 pointer early. I think the top 4 are pretty set and the next 2 could be any combination of Robb, Tucker, Cleary or Thomas.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 25%
Odds of a wildcard – 50%
165 – 8 bids
Vincenzo Joseph
Alex Marinelli
Evan Wick
Isaiah White
Danny Braunagel
Ethan Smith
Shayne Oster
Bailee O’Reilly
Drew Hughes
Kyle Cochran
Tyler Meisinger
Brett Donner
Tanner Webster
Dillon Hoey
Smith should have no problems qualifying a spot. I don’t think he can place top 4, but 5th would help his seeding at NCAAs.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 90%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
174 – 9 bids
Mark Hall
Michael Kemerer
Dylan Lydy
Michael Labriola
Devin Skatzka
Kaleb Romero
Joey Gunther
Layne Malczewski
Joseph Grello
Jacob Covaciu
Tyler Moreland
Phillip Spadafora
Jared Krattinger
Max Maylor
Romero should have no problem qualifying, but I don’t see him top 3. I can see him anywhere from 4-6, and 4th would help his seeding at NCAAs.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 99.5%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
184 – 10 bids
Aaron Brooks
Taylor Venz
Cam Caffey
Abe Assad
Rocky Jordan
Johnny Sebastian
Owen Webster
Zach Braunagel
Billy Janzer
May Lyon
Jelani Embree
Jack Jessen
Jakob Hinz
Kyle Jasenski
With 10 bids, Rocky is all but a lock to qualify. He could be anywhere from top 4 to 8th. He’s had an up and down year, but seems to be coming on.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 99.7%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
197 – 6 bids
Kollin Moore
Jacob Warner
Shakur Rasheed
Eric Shultz
Jordan Pagano
Lucas Davidson
Christian Brunner
Jaron Smith
Hunter Ritter
Jackson Striggow
Matt Wroblewski
Nick May
Nick Willham
Taylor Watkins
I would be super shocked if Moore didn’t win another B1G Title. I think he handles Warner easily in the finals.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 99.9%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
285 – 7 bids
Gable Steveson
Mason Parris
Anthony Cassioppi
Trent Hillger
David Jensen
Seth Nevills
Thomas Penola
Gary Traub
Luke Luffman
Alex Esposito
Christian Rebottaro
Jake Kleimola
Jack Heyob
Parker Robinson
Gas Tank Gary will probably be the 6 seed, and should be able to qualify, although only having 7 bids means a bit of a tougher road. He may have to beat Nevills again, if that is who PSU enters. If Kerk goes that pushes GTG down a spot and takes away one of the AQ.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 70%
Odds of a wildcard – 95%
Overall, OSU should have 7 qualify easily, but they need Malik, Jordan and Elijah to wrestle well to continue their streak of 10 qualifiers. Those three won’t really add much at NCAAs, although Decatur could be worth 1-3 points, depending on his draw.
#GoBucks
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Discussion Topic: B1G Tourney Thoughts
Jared Ball added to this discussion on March 1, 2020
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Outside of coaches attempting to game this system I think this is the most fair way to create competitive balance for a national tournament in sports. I’m cautiously optimistic about the Bucks getting more than seven out. More cautious than optimistic I guess. The composition of 125 is so thin in comparison with previous years that I think Malik, if his head is right, has the best opportunity to flip a result from earlier in the year. There are very few matches he lost in the league that were total blow outs, and no one (except Lee) was utterly dominant.
133 just seems too deep, and Cleary lacks the offense to suggest he can make a move, but crazier things have happened. Perhaps the tournament version of Jordan Decatur finds another gear to finish matches he should’ve won against guys like Ridge Lovit and King Sandoval.
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Discussion Topic: B1G Tourney Thoughts
Bob Preusse added to this discussion on March 1, 2020
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at 157 no chance for Kinner?
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Discussion Topic: B1G Tourney Thoughts
Jason L. Jackson added to this discussion on March 1, 2020
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The Twitter account for the team says Cleary is the guy, hence, no odds for Kinner.
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Discussion Topic: B1G Tourney Thoughts
Ethan Moore added to this discussion on March 1, 2020
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O/U on Maryland wins, 2.5?
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Discussion Topic: B1G Tourney Thoughts
Brady Hiatt added to this discussion on March 2, 2020
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Quote from Ethan Moore's post:
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"O/U on Maryland wins, 2.5?"
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Under.
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Discussion Topic: B1G Tourney Thoughts
Jim Fox added to this discussion on March 2, 2020
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Under. Depending on seeds wouldn't be surprised if its 0.
I'm leaving Thursday or Friday and heading to Rutgers. Still disappointed in how Rutgers handled the tickets. Because it's not football or basketball I guess the Big Ten could care less.
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Discussion Topic: B1G Tourney Thoughts
Mark Cummings added to this discussion on March 2, 2020
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I’m going over the 2.5 wins for MD. A combination of guys will win in the consolation bracket at least 3 times.
The ticket handling sucked as usual. Rutgers said they allocated to each school and Ohio State ticket office had no clue when I contacted them. Ended up with seats in 300 level. Still happy to be there since event sold out.
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Discussion Topic: B1G Tourney Thoughts
Jim Kessen added to this discussion on March 2, 2020
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2020 Big Ten Wrestling Championships – Pre-Seeds
125 lbs. (8 NCAA qualifiers)
1. Spencer Lee, IOWA
2. Devin Schroder, PUR
3. Patrick McKee, MN
4. Justin Cardani, IL
5. Jack Medley, MI
6. Michael DeAugustino, NU
7. Liam Cronin, IN
8. Nic Aguilar, RUT
9. Eric Barnett, WI
10. 10. Alex Thomsen, NEB
11. Malik Heinselman, OSU
12. Logan Griffin, MSU
13. Brandon Cray, MD
14. Brandon Meredith, PSU
133 lbs. (7 qualifiers)
1. Seth Gross, WI
2. Roman Bravo-Young, PSU
3. Austin DeSanto, IOWA
4. Travis Piotrowski, IL
5. Sebastian Rivera, NW
6. Ridge Lovett, NEB
7. Sammy Alvarez, RUT
8. Joey Silva, MI
9. Crayden Rooks, IN
10. Garrett Pepple, MSU
11. Boo Dryden, MN
12. Travis Ford-Melton, PUR
13. King Sandoval, MD
14. Jordan Decatur, OSU
141 lbs. (8 qualifiers)
1. Nick Lee, PSU
2. Luke Pletcher, OSU
3. Max Murin, IOWA
4. Chad Red, NEB
5. Tristan Moran, WIS
6. Mitch McKee, MINN
7. Dylan Duncan, ILL
8. Parker Filius, PUR
9. Cole Mattin, MICH
10. Alec McKenna, NU
11. Joe Aragona, RU
12. Matt Santos, MSU
13. Eddie Bolivar, IND
14. Hunter Baxter, MD
149 lbs. (10 qualifiers)
1. Sammy Sasso, OSU
2. Pat Lugo, IOWA
3. Brayton Lee, MINN
4. Kanen Storr, MICH
5. Graham Rooks, IND
6. Cole Martin, WIS
7. Collin Purinton, NEB
8. Jarod Verkleeren, PSU
9. Yahya Thomas, NU
10. Griffin Parriott, PUR
11. Gerard Angelo RU
12. Alex Hrisopoulos, MSU
13. Mousa Jodeh, ILL
14. Ryan Garlitz, MD
157 lbs. (6 qualifiers)
1. Ryan Deakin, NU
2. Kaleb Young, IOWA
3. Kendall Coleman, PUR
4. Will Lewan, MICH
5. Ryan Thomas, MINN
6. Jake Tucker, MSU
7. Peyton Robb, NEB
8. Eric Barone, ILL
9. Michael VanBrill, RU
10. Jahi Jones, MD
11. Elijah Cleary, OSU
12. Garrett Model, WIS
13. Bo Pipher, PSU
14. Fernie Silva, IND
165 lbs. (8 qualifiers)
1. Vincenzo Joseph, PSU
2. Alex Marinelli, IOWA
3. Evan Wick, WIS
4. Isaiah White, NEB
5. Ethan Smith, OSU
6. Shayne Oster, NU
7. Dan Braunagel, ILL
8. Bailee O’Reilly, MINN
9. Drew Hughes, MSU
10. Kyle Cochran, MD
11. Brett Donner, RU
12. Tyler Meisiner, MICH
13. Tanner Webster, PUR
14. Diego Lemley, IND
174 lbs. (9 qualifiers)
1. Michael Kemerer, IOWA
2. Mark Hall, PSU
3. Dylan Lydy, PUR
4. Devin Skatzka, MINN
5. Mikey Labriola, NEB
6. Kaleb Romero, OSU
7. Joseph Gunther, ILL
8. Layne Malczewski, MSU
9. Tyler Morland, NU
10. Willie Scott, RU
11. Jared Krattiger, WIS
12. Phillip Spadafora, MD
13. Max Maylor, MICH
14. NO ENTRY, IND
184 lbs. (10 qualifiers)
1. Aaron Brooks, PSU
2. Cameron Caffey, MSU
3. Abe Assad, IOWA
4. Taylor Venz, NEB
5. Billy Janzer, RU
6. Rocky Jordan, OSU
7. Zach Braunagel, ILL
8. Owen Webster, MINN
9. Johnny Sebastian, WIS
10. Jelani Embree, MICH
11. Max Lyon, PUR
12. Jack Jessen, NU
13. Jake Hinz, IND
14. Kyle Jasenski, MD
197 lbs. (6 qualifiers)
1. Kollin Moore, OSU
2. Eric Schultz, NEB
3. Jacob Warner, IOWA
4. Christian Brunner, PUR
5. Lucas Davison, NU
6. Shakur Rasheed, PSU
7. Jordan Pagano, RU
8. Jackson Striggow, MICH
9. Jaron Smith, MD
10. Hunter Ritter, MINN
11. Matt Wroblewski, ILL
12. Nick May, MSU
13. Taylor Watkins, WIS
14. Nick Willham, IND
285 lbs. (7 qualifiers)
1. Mason Parris, MICH
2. Gable Steveson, MINN
3. Tony Cassioppi, IOWA
4. Trent Hilger, WIS
5. David Jensen, NEB
6. Gary Traub, OSU
7. Seth Nevillis, PSU
8. Thomas Penola, PUR
9. Luke Luffman, ILL
10. Alex Esposito, RU
11. Christian Rebottaro, MSU
12. Jake Kleimola, IND
13. Jack Heyob, NU
14. Parker Robinson, MD
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Discussion Topic: B1G Tourney Thoughts
Don Bork added to this discussion on March 2, 2020
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Disappointed as well about how ticket sales were handled and even more so that the B1G allowed it. Really hoping that this is not going to become the new normal. I’ll be missing the champions for the first time in several years. Sucks!
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Discussion Topic: B1G Tourney Thoughts
Jason L. Jackson added to this discussion on March 2, 2020
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If the preseeds hold:
125 – Malik has DeAugustino first. Assuming he loses that, he should get Meredith again. He then would have the 4 or 5, Medley or Cardani, to place top 8. He can absolutely get there.
133 – Decatur is the 14 and he gets DeSanto first. If he loses that one, he should get the 11, who is Dryden. He can win that and then likely has the 4 or 5 to place top 8. He’s not winning either of those, so it’s unlikely that Decatur places. Even if he wins that one, he has to win 1 more match. He needs an upset either by himself or somewhere else to get into the top 7.
141 – Pletcher handles Duncan and Murin and gets his rematch with Lee.
149 – Sasso is going to have Verk or Thomas in the quarters, which isn’t an easy match. He then would have Storr or Rooks in the semis, which may actually be easier. I think he’s in the finals against Lugo.
157 – Cleary needs to beat Tucker to have a shot at top 6. If he can pull that off, he probably loses to Coleman and then would need to beat Pipher and either the 7 or 10 seed. All are possible and none of them require him winning a match he’s not capable of winning.
165 – Smith should handle Meisiner, and then comes round 3 versus White. Assuming a loss there, he’ll have a bottom 4 seeded guy and should win that to place top 8. Would like to see him at least place to seed, to help get a top 12 seed at nationals.
174 – Romero should handle Krattinger, and then will probably lose to Lydy. That puts him against probably Maylor, who is an easy win, and he places top 9. However, I really want to see him against Skatzka or Labs again, and place 4th. That would probably put him top 6 at NCAAs.
184 – Rocky should be able to beat Lyon and then has a rematch against Assad. If he wins that, he’s golden. Assuming a loss, he probably gets Jessen or Hinz, which should be a win and a qualification. Rocky already beat Venz and should have beaten Janzen. He could easily place top 4.
197 – Champ. Major in the finals over Warner.
285 – Traub should beat Rebattaro but then likely falls to Cass again. That should put him against Kleimola or Heyob, which should be a win either way. He would then likely have Nevills again. If he beats Nevills again, he’s in. A loss and he would need to win the 7th place match.
My odds on Malik, which I missed the first time, probably stay the same. 5% chance he qualifies directly, 0% chance of a wildcard.
On Decatur, I think they drop a little. I would really have liked Rivera to be a spot or 2 lower, as that makes Lovett the probably placement match for Jordan, which is a winnable match. I put his odds closer to 5% to place outright, and 10% for a wildcard, making this a monumentally bad decision to pull his shirt. Malik at least made the tourney last year.
My odds on Cleary to AQ stay the same. I think he can do it. His wildcard odds drop though because I thought he earned an AQ spot and he did not, so I would say he is closer to 10%.
I think the Bucks get 8, as I think their 7 seeded to AQ wrestlers all make it through and at least 1 of the 3 others punch through.
#GoBucks
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Discussion Topic: B1G Tourney Thoughts
John Ice added to this discussion on March 2, 2020
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Discussion Topic: B1G Tourney Thoughts
Robert Pohlman added to this discussion on March 2, 2020
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Quote from John Ice's post:
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"Who’s going?"
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Me and my son will be going for our fourth in a row. Can’t wait.
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Discussion Topic: B1G Tourney Thoughts
Jim Fox added to this discussion on March 2, 2020
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Quote from Mark Cummings's post:
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"I’m going over the 2.5 wins for MD. A combination of guys will win in the consolation bracket at least 3 times.
The ticket handling sucked as usual. Rutgers said they allocated to each school and Ohio State ticket office had no clue when I contacted them. Ended up with seats in 300 level. Still happy to be there since event sold out."
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The tickets allocated to each school was for the wrestlers and parents plus some for the coaches.
Next year it's at Penn St. and they are already talking about trying to purchase all the tickets before they go on sale to the general public.
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Discussion Topic: B1G Tourney Thoughts
Jack Muni added to this discussion on March 2, 2020
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Quote from Don Bork's post:
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"Disappointed as well about how ticket sales were handled and even more so that the B1G allowed it. Really hoping that this is not going to become the new normal. I’ll be missing the champions for the first time in several years. Sucks!"
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How was it handled? I know I was surprised they announced it was sold out so far in advance.
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