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Discussion Topic: Bucks at Collegiate Duals 12.19-20
Jim Kessen added to this discussion on December 13, 2022
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December 19th
10AM - #19 Northern Iowa vs. Lock Haven (Red Pool); #13 Iowa State vs. #30 Oregon State (Blue Pool)
12PM - #4 Ohio State vs. Lock Haven (Red Pool); #6 Cornell vs. #30 Oregon State (Blue Pool)
2PM - #4 Ohio State vs. #19 Northern Iowa (Red Pool); #6 Cornell vs. #13 Iowa State (Blue Pool)
4PM - #21 Lehigh vs. #28 Cal Poly (Red Pool); #18 North Carolina vs. Central Michigan (Blue Pool)
6PM - #12 NC State vs. #28 Cal Poly (Red Pool); #1 Penn State vs. Central Michigan (Blue Pool)
8PM - #12 NC State vs. #21 Lehigh (Red Pool); #1 Penn State vs. #18 North Carolina (Blue Pool)
December 20th
1PM - 5th Place Matches (Both Pools)
3PM - 3rd Place Matches (Both Pools)
5PM - Championship Match (Red Pool)
7PM - Championship Match (Blue Pool)
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Discussion Topic: Bucks at Collegiate Duals 12.19-20
Jason L. Jackson added to this discussion on December 14, 2022
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Ohio State v. Lock Haven
125 – Probably the only really competitive match of the dual, assuming starters for both teams. Anthony Noto is a very good wrestler, ranked 20th by InterMat. I think Malik gets a 3rd period takedown and wins this one 3-2.
133 – If Mendez is here, I think he majors Gabe Strickland or worse. If it is Bouzakis, the same. If it is Koontz, then I will give Strickland the decision.
141 – D’Emilio controls Tyler Dilley and possibly tacks on a major late.
149 – Sammy comes up with a pin over Connor Eck.
157 – Paddy gets a controlled decision over Claymont grad Ashton Eyler. If it’s Wilcox, I go with Eyler by decision.
165 – Carson beats Avery Bassett by decision. Pushes late for a major but runs out of gas.
174 – Smith majors Tyler Stoltzfus.
184 – Romero majors Colin Fegley.
197 – Hoffman majors Brad Morrison.
285 – Tate pins Ethan Miller. If Isaac Reid makes his debut for the season, I have Tate by decision.
Ohio State should win comfortably.
Ohio State v. Northern Iowa
125 – Malik should beat Kyle Gollhofer, but Gollhofer did wrestle Kaylor close, so Malik is on upset alert.
133 – Kyle Biscoglia is ranked 6th and took 3rd at Cliff Keen, so regardless of who wrestles for Ohio State, he might be the favorite. I think Mendez or Bouzakis can beat him, but Koontz would be in danger of getting majored. I’m giving Biscoglia the decision for now.
141 – Cael Happel (10th) beat D’Emilio at CKLV by decision, so I am going with that for now. Definitely a result that could be reversed.
149 – A well rested Sammy should get bonus over #25 Colin Realbuto.
157 – I would favor Paddy by decision over #27 Derek Holschlag, but that’s a true toss up.
165 – A healthy Carson is the favorite over #11 Austin Yant, by decision.
174 – Smith should be a heavy favorite in this one. He should get bonus.
184 – Feature matchup of the dual! Romero v. #2 Parker Keckeisen should be worth the price of admission. I’m going to give Keckeisen the decision, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Kaleb pulled this one out.
197 – Hoffman should be a heavy favorite over Noah Glaser. If he’s aggressive, he could push for bonus late.
285 – Orndorff lost to #19 Tyrell Gordon 3-2 at CKLV. Hopefully he can reverse that result.
So, if my calculations are correct, and they generally are not, Ohio State would win the dual 20-12. There isn’t a single weight that Ohio State cannot win, but they could also lose at 125, 157 and 165 as well, which would result in losing the dual. I think they pull out the win.
Ohio State v. NC State or Lehigh
125 – Malik should be favored over Jaret Trombley (NCSU) or Carter Bailey (LU)
133 – Mendez and Bouzakis would both be favored over #25 Kai Orine (NCSU) or #8 Connor McGonagle (LU). That ranking for McGonagle seems off to me.
141 – D’Emilio would be an underdog to #12 Ryan Jack (NCSU), but that is a winnable match, but a favorite over #31 Malyke Hines (LU).
149 – Sasso would be a heavy favorite over #19 Jackson Arrington (NCSU) and #33 Manzona Bryant IV (LU).
157 – I would favor #9 Ed Scott (NCSU) and #7 Josh Humphreys (LU) over Paddy.
165 – Carson should bonus both #29 Donald Cates (NCSU) and Brian Meyer (LU).
174 – Smith should beat both Alex Faison (NCSU) and Jake Logan (LU).
184 – #2 Trent Hidlay (NCSU) has to the favorite over Romero, but Kaleb should beat #22 Tate Samuelson (LU).
197 – Both #9 Isaac Trumble and #4 Michael Beard would have to be favored over Hoffman.
285 – I would favor Tate over #13 Owen Trephan (NCSU) and #25 Nathan Taylor (LU).
Overall, I have Ohio State 20-12 over NC State and only losing 2 matches to Lehigh. IF Ohio State brings a full, healthy roster, anything less than a pool championship would be disappointing.
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Discussion Topic: Bucks at Collegiate Duals 12.19-20
John Joyce added to this discussion on December 15, 2022
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McGonagle is down to 133 this year after being up at 141 last year. This year has a win over Phillipi (who has a win over Byrd) and only loss to Daton Fix. The ranking is appropriate at this point given limited data.
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Discussion Topic: Bucks at Collegiate Duals 12.19-20
Rick Wasmer added to this discussion on December 15, 2022
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Any news on Nick Feldman? Has he wrestled any matches this year?
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Discussion Topic: Bucks at Collegiate Duals 12.19-20
Rob Wagner added to this discussion on December 15, 2022
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Nice write up JLJ. N. Iowa has a pretty solid squad.
I hope we see Mendez back at 133. If not put in Bouzakis. I'm hoping Paddy will be back. Kharchla im not sure about, regardless I think Hepner should get at least one of the 2 matches on Monday. Just hoping everyone gets back to full health soon.
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Discussion Topic: Bucks at Collegiate Duals 12.19-20
Don Bork added to this discussion on December 15, 2022
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Feldman has not wrestled this season, but, on a positive note, was not wearing his neck brace at the KSU duel. I’m pretty sure Hepner is redshirting this season, so would not be able to compete for TOSU, unless I misunderstand the new rules.
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Discussion Topic: Bucks at Collegiate Duals 12.19-20
Jim Kessen added to this discussion on December 16, 2022
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According to Flo article Carson won’t wrestle and Jesse is traveling but is considered day to day. Didn’t mention any news on Paddy or Tate.
From PSU perspective didn’t sound like RBY was wrestling because didn’t see the need to make weight back to back days since he starting to outgrow weight class.
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Discussion Topic: Bucks at Collegiate Duals 12.19-20
Jack Muni added to this discussion on December 16, 2022
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Per OSU match notes/lineups
No. 11 Malik Heinselman 125 or Andre Gonzales (r-Fr.)
Nic Bouzakis (Fr.) 133
No. 18 Dylan D'Emilio 141 or Jordan Decatur
No. 3 Sammy Sasso 149 or Gavin Brown
No. 18 Paddy Gallagher 157 or Isaac Wilcox
No. 18 Paddy Gallagher 165 or Isaac Wilcox
No. 7 Ethan Smith 174
No. 5 Kaleb Romero 184 or Seth Shumate (Fr.)
No. 22 Gavin Hoffman 197
No. 9 Tate Orndorff 285 or Mike Misita (r-Fr.)
I am going to be interested in 165 since many have speculated that Paddy may be cutting too much, and given Wilcox looked gassed in the 2nd & 3rd periods in his last outing, should be an interesting match no matter who they send out there.
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Discussion Topic: Bucks at Collegiate Duals 12.19-20
Jim Kessen added to this discussion on December 19, 2022
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Bucks weighed in 3 guys at 125
Malik
McGrone
Gonzales
133 only Bouzakis weighed in
157
Wilcox
Brown
Reeves
165 unless I missed it no one weighed in
184
Romero
Shumate
285.
Tate
Mista
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Discussion Topic: Bucks at Collegiate Duals 12.19-20
Luke Moore added to this discussion on December 19, 2022
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Why is Hepner not getting matches at 165 when Kharchla out?
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Discussion Topic: Bucks at Collegiate Duals 12.19-20
Jim Kessen added to this discussion on December 19, 2022
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Quote from Luke Moore's post:
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"Why is Hepner not getting matches at 165 when Kharchla out?"
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He is RS and I don’t think the new rules apply to non freshman
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Discussion Topic: Bucks at Collegiate Duals 12.19-20
Jack Muni added to this discussion on December 19, 2022
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Wow, Bouzakis hits a cradle to beat #6 Biscoglia 10-6!
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Discussion Topic: Bucks at Collegiate Duals 12.19-20
Jim Kessen added to this discussion on December 19, 2022
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Quote from Jack Muni's post:
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"Wow, Bouzakis hits a cradle to beat #6 Biscoglia 10-6!"
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Dylan lost on OT again to Happel
Sasso lost to Realbuto 9-7 gave up 4 pt NF in 2nd and had to play catch up
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Discussion Topic: Bucks at Collegiate Duals 12.19-20
Alex Creech added to this discussion on December 19, 2022
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Right now, the only wrestler I'd put $ on to AA is Romero.
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Discussion Topic: Bucks at Collegiate Duals 12.19-20
Jason L. Jackson added to this discussion on December 19, 2022
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Romero is going to have to win for OSU to pull out the victory with Sammy losing and no Carson.
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